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2022 midterm election: Takeaways | CNN Politics

Jessica Pachel by Jessica Pachel
November 9, 2022
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2022 midterm election: Takeaways | CNN Politics
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CNN
 — 

The battle for management of Congress is starting to take form as votes are counted in aggressive races throughout the nation.

Republicans flipped Democratic-held Home seats in Florida, Georgia and Virginia.

However a number of Democratic incumbents, together with two Home members in Virginia, have received aggressive races, and others had been main – an indication that Republicans have an edge however not the wave they hoped for nationwide.

In Florida, although, Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis romped – flipping closely Latino counties that had traditionally been Democratic strongholds on the best way to a reelection victory that would function a launching pad for a 2024 presidential bid.

Listed below are six early takeaways as votes are being counted in key races:

Three Democratic-controlled Home races in Virginia had been extensively considered as an early warning sign of the night time’s outcomes. With all Home districts within the commonwealth projected by CNN, the outcomes trace at an evening the place Democrats might lose the Home – however wouldn’t face a 2014-style wave.

Democrats held seats in two Virginia districts Biden received in 2020.

CNN projected that Democratic Jennifer Wexton received her reelection bid in Virginia’s tenth District. Republicans had been hoping Wexton might fall on Tuesday if the night time was significantly unhealthy for Democrats.

In an much more aggressive race, CNN projected Rep. Abigail Spanberger additionally received reelection in Virginia’s seventh District. Spanberger was extensively seen as a weak incumbent, particularly after Republican Glenn Youngkin carried the district in his profitable gubernatorial marketing campaign in 2021.

However Democrats misplaced in southeastern Virginia, with CNN projecting that Republican state Sen. Jen Kiggans defeated Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria.

“I used to be within the White Home in 2010 when the massive wave rolled in. I do know what it appears like. It doesn’t really feel like this,” stated David Axelrod, the highest political adviser to former President Barack Obama.

Scott Jennings, a Republican operative and CNN contributor, stated whether or not the outcomes are a wave or only a slight shift within the Home, the affect would be the identical on President Joe Biden’s administration.

“Whether or not it’s a wave, a ripple, or no matter you need to name it, the oversight goes to really feel all the identical,” Jennings stated.

Luria, a member of the Home choose committee investigating the January 6, 2021, assault on the Capitol, misplaced her Virginia Seaside-based Home seat, CNN projected.

Luria’s loss to Kiggans, Republican Navy veteran, was the newest demonstration that the lasting concentrate on the revolt – even because it sheds gentle on a darkish chapter within the nation’s capitol – is a political anchor for these concerned.

Luria had defeated former GOP Rep. Scott Taylor in 2018 and 2020. However the district had turn into barely extra favorable floor for Republicans in redistricting: Biden carried the earlier model by 5 factors, and would have misplaced the brand new district by 2 factors.

And Luria offered the newest proof that voters usually are not rewarding these concerned within the committee probing the revolt. Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney was routed in a main by Trump-backed challenger Harriet Hageman, whereas Republican Rep. Adam Kinzinger of Illinois and Rep. Stephanie Murphy, a Florida Democrat, each retired slightly than in search of reelection.

Like Virginia within the Home, New Hampshire was a key early consequence within the battle for management of the Senate, the place Democrats can not afford to lose a seat of their bid to retain their majority.

Sen. Maggie Hassan, a first-term Democrat who confronted Republican retired Military Brig. Gen. Don Bolduc, received her race, CNN tasks.

A Hassan loss would have successfully ended Democrats’ hopes of retaining their majority. The occasion remains to be defending seats in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada, and making an attempt to make up for any potential losses in battles for Republican-held seats in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – so it would take time to settle Senate management.

Gov. Ron DeSantis led a dominant Republican ticket in Florida – delivering historic margins in Democratic territory in his victory over Democratic Rep. Charlie Crist on an evening that gives him a robust argument if he seeks the GOP’s 2024 presidential nomination.

The straightforward wins by DeSantis, who led by almost 20 share factors with 92% of the estimated vote counted, and Sen. Marco Rubio, who was 17 factors up, had been sufficient to solid doubt on Florida’s standing as a nationwide bellwether.

Probably the most eye-popping final result – and one which demonstrates the breadth of DeSantis’ attraction within the eyes of Sunshine State voters – got here in Miami-Dade County, which is closely Hispanic and traditionally an enormous supply of Democratic votes.

Republicans had made positive aspects there lately: Hillary Clinton defeated former President Trump there by 29 share factors in 2016. DeSantis did barely higher within the 2018 governor’s race, dropping the county by 21 factors. Trump made inroads there in 2020, dropping by simply 8 factors. However a GOP candidate for governor hadn’t really received Miami-Dade County since Jeb Bush in 2002.

The political actuality is simple: Democrats haven’t any life like path to victory in statewide races in Florida with out huge wins in Miami-Dade County. That actuality makes county’s final result into an exclamation level on a dominant GOP efficiency.

DeSantis’ win comes as a battle over the way forward for the Republican Get together takes form, with Trump signaling a possible 2024 announcement subsequent week. Exit polls in Florida confirmed that 45% of the state’s voters wish to see DeSantis run for president, in comparison with 33% who need Trump to run in 2024.

In a victory speech Tuesday night time, DeSantis provided a glimpse at how he would possibly describe his governorship to a nationwide viewers. Touting his refusal to impose lockdowns throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, he stated that Florida “was a refuge of sanity when the world went mad.” He additionally described the state as “the place woke goes to die” and “a ray of hope that higher days nonetheless lie forward.”

Republicans hoped to construct on Trump’s inroads amongst Latino voters in 2020, a development that would reshape the political landscapes in a number of swing states if it continues.

The strongest early sign that the GOP had continued to make positive aspects got here in Miami-Dade County, house to a big Cuban inhabitants.

However Latinos usually are not a monolith, and there have been extra vital indicators in Florida, too: One other conventional Democratic stronghold received by DeSantis was Osceola County, a majority Latino county south of Orlando with a closely Puerto Rican inhabitants.

Nonetheless, it’ll take some time to totally gauge whether or not these GOP positive aspects happen outdoors of Florida.

One key gauge might be three aggressive Home races in Texas, the place the GOP hopes culturally conservative voters within the Rio Grande Valley will swing their method.

Arizona and Nevada, each aggressive states with vital Latino populations, are additionally vital to look at. So are a spate of Home races in California, the place it might take days or even weeks for winners to turn into clear.

Up and down the poll, in crimson states and blue, candidates from each events are celebrating pathbreaking victories.

In Massachusetts, Democratic state Legal professional Common Maura Healey is poised to turn into the state’s first elected feminine governor and the nation’s first out lesbian state government. Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders, the previous Trump White Home press secretary, has been elected the primary feminine governor of Arkansas. And Maryland Democrat Wes Moore would be the state’s first Black governor.

Alabama’s Katie Britt, a Republican former aide to retiring Sen. Richard Shelby, will change him subsequent 12 months, successful election on Tuesday to turn into the state’s first feminine US Senator.

Down the poll, Democratic state Rep. Summer time Lee would be the first Black girl elected to Congress from Pennsylvania.

Florida has additionally elected the youngest-ever Home member, 25-year-old Maxwell Alejandro Frost, now on observe to turn into the primary Gen Z candidate to carry federal workplace.



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